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US Stocks Plunge 1,000 Points; Japan, Korea Stage Surprise Comeback

Monday (August 5th), the U.S. stock market suffered a significant downturn, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average plummeting by over 1,000 points, while the Nasdaq Composite and S&P 500 indexes both recorded their largest single-day drop since 2022, with declines of 3.4% and 3% respectively.

Technology stocks led the decline.

In the early morning on Monday, the Nasdaq fell by more than 1,000 points, with a drop exceeding 6%.

The market value of the seven major U.S. technology stocks evaporated by over $1.3 trillion.

The once red-hot artificial intelligence (AI) trading also encountered a Waterloo, and technology stocks were among the worst-performing stocks in the U.S. stock market on Monday.

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The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index (VIX), which measures the degree of market panic, soared above 53, reaching its highest level since the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020.

The market was filled with cries of despair, Wall Street was shrouded in gloom, and faces at the New York Stock Exchange were filled with disbelief at what they were seeing!

This series of events triggered a chain reaction in the global market, intensifying investors' concerns about a recession in the U.S. and even the global economy, leading to a general decline in global stock markets.

However, on Tuesday, the stock markets in Japan and South Korea unexpectedly rebounded significantly.

As of around 9 a.m. on the 6th, the MSCI Asia Pacific Index expanded its gains to 3%, the Japanese Topix Index and the Nikkei 225 Index expanded their gains to 10%, and the South Korean Seoul Composite Index expanded its gains to 5%.

This provided the market with a brief respite.

The sharp decline in the U.S. stock market on Monday quickly affected the global market, with Asian stock markets being the first to be hit, and the Japanese Nikkei 225 Index even recorded its largest single-day drop since the Wall Street crash in 1987.

The interconnectivity of the global market was once again highlighted, with neither developed nor emerging markets being able to stand alone.

This interconnectivity effect shows that in the current highly globalized financial market, fluctuations in a single market can quickly spread to the global range.

The spread of market panic sentiment is not only reflected in the stock market but also in other asset categories.

For example, the price of Bitcoin plummeted from nearly $62,000 per coin on Friday to around $52,000 on Monday, indicating that the cryptocurrency market also suffered a significant impact.

In addition, changes in gold prices and U.S. Treasury yields also reflected the increased demand for safe-haven assets among investors.

During market turmoil, investors often seek safe-haven assets such as gold and U.S. Treasury bonds.

This led to an increase in gold prices and a decrease in U.S. Treasury yields.

At the same time, the U.S. dollar, as a traditional safe-haven currency, will also be the focus of attention.

This phenomenon reflects investors' preference for safe-haven assets when uncertainty increases.

Will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates ahead of schedule?

Recent economic data show a slowdown in U.S. economic growth, especially the disappointing non-farm employment data in July.

This has increased market expectations for the Federal Reserve to take emergency interest rate cuts, with the market currently betting on a 25 basis point cut possibility at 30%.

Changes in economic data directly affect the market's view of future monetary policy trends.

The Federal Reserve's recent policy statement shows that they are closely monitoring economic data and are ready to take necessary measures to support the economy.

If data continue to deteriorate in the coming months, the Federal Reserve is likely to consider cutting interest rates ahead of schedule.

Federal Reserve Chairman Powell also expressed concern about economic uncertainty in his recent speech, which further increased market expectations for a rate cut.

The pressure of a global economic slowdown will also affect the Federal Reserve's decision-making.

If the economic situation in other countries further deteriorates, the Federal Reserve may need to take more aggressive actions to guard against a potential global recession.

For example, the European Central Bank has already hinted at the possibility of introducing more stimulus measures, which may prompt the Federal Reserve to take corresponding measures.

How should investors operate and respond?

In the face of increased market uncertainty, diversifying investment portfolios becomes particularly important.

Investors can diversify risks by holding different types of assets, such as stocks, bonds, gold, etc.

This can reduce the impact of fluctuations in a single market on the entire investment portfolio to a certain extent.

Facing market volatility, it is crucial to remain calm.

Excessive frequent buying and selling often leads to unnecessary losses.

Investors should adhere to long-term investment strategies, rather than trying to capture short-term fluctuations.

In the current market environment, investors need to be patient and wait for the market to stabilize before making decisions.

Pay close attention to the policy trends of central banks and governments, which can help investors better understand market trends.

For example, the next move of the Federal Reserve will be the focus of market attention.

In addition, investors should also pay attention to policy changes in other major economies, such as the European Central Bank and the People's Bank of China.

In periods of high market uncertainty, maintaining sufficient liquidity is very important.

Investors can consider retaining a portion of cash or cash-like assets to be able to act quickly when opportunities arise in the market.

This can not only help investors seize new investment opportunities but also provide a certain buffer when the market experiences greater fluctuations.

Monday's global stock market crash reminds us that even in seemingly stable market environments, risks can come at any time.

This market fluctuation not only tests the psychological quality of investors but also tests the ability of central banks in various countries to deal with crises.

For the Federal Reserve, whether to cut interest rates ahead of schedule will depend on the performance of data in the next few months.

For investors, the most important thing is to remain calm, follow long-term investment principles, and closely monitor policy signals and changes in market trends.

Although the rebound in the stock markets of Japan and South Korea on Tuesday temporarily eased market tensions, the future trend of the global stock market is still full of variables.

Investors should be fully prepared and flexibly adjust investment strategies to cope with various situations that may arise.

In the face of global economic challenges, a diversified investment portfolio and sufficient liquidity will become important weapons in the hands of investors.

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